EN

Short-term vs. Long term, that is the question ?


Although the US President has been preoccupied by the Middle East situation and annoyed by the Supreme Court’s recent decision to invalidate most of his tariff policies, to us it seems that Donald Trump has been less focused on domestic economics, at least for the first part of the month. Instead, the spotlight has been largely saturated by, artificial intelligence (AI), with investors focusing on the implications and consequences this could have for the market. The renewed crisis in the Middle East triggered late February by US & Israeli airstrikes on Iran undoubtedly had short term ripple effects on commodities and financial markets. On this topic, the difference between short- and long-term implications also remained important. Albeit painful, it seems to us that the excess of confidence or of pessimism linked to AI and to some extent geopolitics should provide interesting entry (or exit!) points for stock-pickers we are favoring. We are discussing these topics in more detail in this newsletter.

Download the Report PDF

Discover also

Newsletter

THE COMEBACK!

About a month ago, oil prices broke the $100 mark, and the prospect of a resurgence in inflation sowed doubt among investors and put equity markets under heavy pressure. In just a few weeks punctuated by incessant and contradictory presidential comments, while the ceasefire appeared temporary and the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked, those doubts appear […]

Quarterly Outlook

DID YOU SAY STAGFLATION?

One month after the start of the war in Iran, as the prospect of a lightning operation fades, the markets are beginning to envisage a protracted conflict, the consequence of which for the markets boils down to one inescapable implication: high oil prices = high interest rates and falling share values. All asset prices now depend […]

Newsletter

SAME PLAYERS. ANOTHER ROUND?

After a first month of the year as eventful as 2025 was, one question often comes to mind for investors: will the trends continue? In short, will 2026 looks like 2025 in terms of stock market performance? The same leading assets are still in the lead, despite a tumultuous end to the month: despite a drop of […]

Geopolitics

2026, the Empires strike back

Less than a month in January and the kidnapping of Nicolas Maduro, Greenland, without forgetting the Russia-Ukrainian war the continued tensions in the Middle East or in Asia around Taiwanese question already point towards a world reshaped by geopolitical factors. The period is also  marked by the return of power struggles and intensified rivalries between […]